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Markets bet on whether core PCE inflation will be above 0.2% in August 2025

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Quiver Quantitative

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September 20, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 8,320 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in August 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 29% chance for "Above...

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