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Markets bet on whether Donald J. Trump will win the next presidential election

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Quiver Quantitative

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August 16, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 5,463 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Donald J. Trump", which is neutral from...

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