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Markets bet on whether Donald Trump will leave office this year

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Quiver Quantitative

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August 31, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 8,833 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Donald Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the...

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