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Markets bet on whether real GDP will increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2025

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Quiver Quantitative

·

August 30, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 40,719 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 84% chance for "Above 1.0%", which...

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