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Markets bet on whether Tesla will deliver 450,000 or more cars in Q4 2025

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Quiver Quantitative

·

October 2, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 7,162 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “How many Tesla deliveries will there be this quarter?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 76% chance for "450000 or more", which is...

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