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Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting

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Quiver Quantitative

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September 21, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 37,600 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Cut...

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