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Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by December 31, 2025

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Quiver Quantitative

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August 23, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 8,808 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Before 2026", which is...

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