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Markets bet on whether there will be a government shutdown in 2025

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Quiver Quantitative

·

August 10, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 6,446 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Government shutdown in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 38% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market...

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