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Markets bet on whether Trump will try and impose export tariffs

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Quiver Quantitative

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September 28, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 3,394 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump try and impose export tariffs?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 12% chance for "Before 2025", which is neutral from yesterday,...

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