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Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in NYC Mayoral election

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Quiver Quantitative

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October 12, 2025

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Barchart

Kalshi has reported 8,587 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Zohran Mamdani outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in NYC Mayoral election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 72% chance for...

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